Im not for or thrilled with any predictions or polls; I hope this is a tight race, I want the winner to KNOW that there is no mandate, no comfort zone; dont want the prez leaning back, put feet up on the desk, relax; hell We the People sure canna relax!
Oh sure maybe a few of Romney's constituents can do, with ten or twenty millions in the banks and portfolios and just worry if they can keep from 'losing' say fifty grand in some tax- but the rest of us are stressed- I want the prez on the edge of his seat- I wan t him stressed, I want him mindful that the United States has mucho mondo problems and needs so so many solutions; never rest, no laurels, no mandate; fix our problems or there will be Tar and Feathers waiting, we'll start heating up the barrels and cauldrons now. I want the winner to feel the skin of teeth vote margin, Feel the Burn, feel the heat, feel those barrels warming up.
here's a neat quick lil piece on the Nate predictions,
' Indeed, among the pundit class, it’s the conventional wisdom to call the race a toss-up. But then again, if you read Silver’s book you’d probably never take anything a pundit says all that seriously ever again.
In the chapter “Are You Smarter Than a Television Pundit?” Silver relates how, on the eve of the 2008 election, two of the four television pundits on the McLaughlin Group said the race was too close to call, one said John McCain would win, and one predicted an Obama victory.Obama went on to win the election by nearly 10 million votes.
But no one ever called out the McLaughlin pundits on their poor prognosticating. So Silver analyzed 1,000 of the predictions made on the show. The pundits were right exactly half the time—which made their predictions no better than a coin flip. What’s more, none of the pundits on the show was better at making predictions than any other.
Silver goes on to describe how the same qualities that make a good and entertaining TV pundit also tend to blind people to the complexities inherent in analyzing large sets of data. Pundits believe in one “big idea” and their confident expression of that idea is what makes us listen to them. '