Wow, looks like I actually have a reason to be hopeful in this election. I am following the NYTimes results, it gives a lot more context and nuance. For example, Moore quickly overtook Jones early lead, and for quite a while, but even with Moore in the lead their prediction started to say Jones before it started turning. Looking over their page I saw that there was still a lot of tallying remaining in urban areas that were expected to be more Democrat than Republican.
Currently estimated of 92% of votes counted.
D - Jones - 49.5%
R - Moore - 48.9%
Write In - 1.6%
Jones leads by about 8,000 votes, andů I thought I read somewhere on their page recently that there were some estimated 100,000 votes to count or something like that, can't find it now, but those votes are largely in urban areas, so it is not expected to trend back to Moore again. Who knowsů and as I typed this post looks like AP has called
the race for Jones.
ETA: Other reports are saying turnout was double what was expected by state officials. Even if someone were to say, well, hey now, you can't call it yet, there could be 200K votes left then! There were only two counties that were trending Moore that have not reported 100% of their votes yet, Baldwin (94% reporting), & Shelby (63%). There are three populous counties that were trending Jones that have not reported 100% of votes yet: Jefferson (85% - contains Birmingham), Mobile (70%), and Montgomery (51%). Mobile is 56.8% for Jones currently, the other two locations even more strongly for Jones so far.
Edited by sierraleone, 12 December 2017 - 10:54 PM.
Rules for surviving an Autocracy:
Rule#1: Believe the Autocrat.
Rule#2: Do not be taken in by small signs of normality.
Rule#3: Institutions will not save you.
Rule#4: Be outraged.
Rule#5: Don't make compromises.
Rule#6: Remember the future.
- Masha Gessen